Stock Analysis

Some Rachana Infrastructure Limited (NSE:RILINFRA) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 25% Pounding

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NSEI:RILINFRA

Rachana Infrastructure Limited (NSE:RILINFRA) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 40% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Rachana Infrastructure's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 33.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in India, where the median P/E ratio is around 35x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Rachana Infrastructure certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this strong earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Rachana Infrastructure

NSEI:RILINFRA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 4th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Rachana Infrastructure, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Rachana Infrastructure's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 60%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 35% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Rachana Infrastructure's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Rachana Infrastructure's P/E

With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Rachana Infrastructure looks quite average now. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Rachana Infrastructure revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Rachana Infrastructure (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Rachana Infrastructure. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.