Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Hitachi Energy India Limited (NSE:POWERINDIA) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Hitachi Energy India's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Hitachi Energy India had debt of ₹1.25b, up from ₹390.7m in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹859.4m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹390.6m.
How Healthy Is Hitachi Energy India's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hitachi Energy India had liabilities of ₹23.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹560.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹859.4m as well as receivables valued at ₹13.5b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹9.54b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Hitachi Energy India shares are worth a total of ₹141.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Carrying virtually no net debt, Hitachi Energy India has a very light debt load indeed.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.16 and interest cover of 4.9 times, it seems to us that Hitachi Energy India is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Unfortunately, Hitachi Energy India's EBIT flopped 11% over the last four quarters. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hitachi Energy India can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Hitachi Energy India created free cash flow amounting to 10% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
Hitachi Energy India's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its net debt to EBITDA tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Hitachi Energy India is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hitachi Energy India .
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:POWERINDIA
Hitachi Energy India
Offers products, projects, and services for electricity transmission and related activities in India and internationally.
Exceptional growth potential with excellent balance sheet.