Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Nava Bharat Ventures (NSE:NBVENTURES) Is Using Debt Extensively

NSEI:NAVA
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Nava Bharat Ventures Limited (NSE:NBVENTURES) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Nava Bharat Ventures

What Is Nava Bharat Ventures's Debt?

As you can see below, Nava Bharat Ventures had ₹25.5b of debt at September 2020, down from ₹30.0b a year prior. However, it does have ₹4.55b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹20.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:NBVENTURES Debt to Equity History March 18th 2021

How Strong Is Nava Bharat Ventures' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Nava Bharat Ventures had liabilities of ₹15.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹29.4b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹4.55b in cash and ₹9.45b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹30.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹11.4b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Nava Bharat Ventures would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Nava Bharat Ventures has net debt worth 2.0 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 2.8 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Unfortunately, Nava Bharat Ventures's EBIT flopped 12% over the last four quarters. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nava Bharat Ventures's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Nava Bharat Ventures recorded free cash flow worth 54% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Nava Bharat Ventures's level of total liabilities was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Nava Bharat Ventures to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Nava Bharat Ventures has 3 warning signs (and 2 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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