Stock Analysis
Kabra Extrusiontechnik Limited's (NSE:KABRAEXTRU) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 26%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Kabra Extrusiontechnik Limited (NSE:KABRAEXTRU) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 8.1% over that longer period.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Kabra Extrusiontechnik's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.9x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 24x and even P/E's below 14x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Kabra Extrusiontechnik has been doing very well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Kabra Extrusiontechnik
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kabra Extrusiontechnik would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 44%. EPS has also lifted 18% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Kabra Extrusiontechnik's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Kabra Extrusiontechnik's P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Kabra Extrusiontechnik currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Kabra Extrusiontechnik that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Kabra Extrusiontechnik. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kabra Extrusiontechnik might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:KABRAEXTRU
Kabra Extrusiontechnik
Provides plastic extrusion machinery for manufacturing pipes and films in India.