Stock Analysis

The Return Trends At Hindustan Aeronautics (NSE:HAL) Look Promising

NSEI:HAL
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Hindustan Aeronautics' (NSE:HAL) returns on capital, so let's have a look.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Hindustan Aeronautics:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.12 = ₹43b ÷ (₹672b - ₹308b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

So, Hindustan Aeronautics has an ROCE of 12%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Aerospace & Defense industry average of 14%.

Check out our latest analysis for Hindustan Aeronautics

roce
NSEI:HAL Return on Capital Employed May 30th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Hindustan Aeronautics' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Hindustan Aeronautics.

SWOT Analysis for Hindustan Aeronautics

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
  • Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
Weakness
  • Earnings growth over the past year underperformed the Aerospace & Defense industry.
Opportunity
  • Annual revenue is forecast to grow faster than the Indian market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio compared to estimated Fair P/E ratio.
Threat
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the Indian market.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Hindustan Aeronautics Tell Us?

Investors would be pleased with what's happening at Hindustan Aeronautics. The data shows that returns on capital have increased substantially over the last five years to 12%. The amount of capital employed has increased too, by 68%. The increasing returns on a growing amount of capital is common amongst multi-baggers and that's why we're impressed.

Another thing to note, Hindustan Aeronautics has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 46%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

In Conclusion...

To sum it up, Hindustan Aeronautics has proven it can reinvest in the business and generate higher returns on that capital employed, which is terrific. And a remarkable 250% total return over the last five years tells us that investors are expecting more good things to come in the future. Therefore, we think it would be worth your time to check if these trends are going to continue.

On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for Hindustan Aeronautics you'll probably want to know about.

While Hindustan Aeronautics may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hindustan Aeronautics might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.