Stock Analysis

Should You Or Shouldn't You: A Dividend Analysis on Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Limited (NSE:GRSE)

NSEI:GRSE
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Today we'll take a closer look at Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Limited (NSE:GRSE) from a dividend investor's perspective. Owning a strong business and reinvesting the dividends is widely seen as an attractive way of growing your wealth. If you are hoping to live on your dividends, it's important to be more stringent with your investments than the average punter. Regular readers know we like to apply the same approach to each dividend stock, and we hope you'll find our analysis useful.

In this case, Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers pays a decent-sized 3.7% dividend yield, and has been distributing cash to shareholders for the past two years. A 3.7% yield does look good. Could the short payment history hint at future dividend growth? Some simple research can reduce the risk of buying Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers for its dividend - read on to learn more.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

historic-dividend
NSEI:GRSE Historic Dividend January 14th 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. Looking at the data, we can see that 70% of Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers' profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. This is a fairly normal payout ratio among most businesses. It allows a higher dividend to be paid to shareholders, but does limit the capital retained in the business - which could be good or bad.

In addition to comparing dividends against profits, we should inspect whether the company generated enough cash to pay its dividend. Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers paid out 9.6% of its free cash flow as dividends last year, which is conservative and suggests the dividend is sustainable. It's positive to see that Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers' dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

With a strong net cash balance, Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.

Consider getting our latest analysis on Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers' financial position here.

Dividend Volatility

One of the major risks of relying on dividend income, is the potential for a company to struggle financially and cut its dividend. Not only is your income cut, but the value of your investment declines as well - nasty. The dividend has not fluctuated much, but with a relatively short payment history, we can't be sure this is sustainable across a full market cycle. During the past two-year period, the first annual payment was ₹3.7 in 2019, compared to ₹7.1 last year. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 39% a year over that time.

Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

Dividend Growth Potential

Dividend payments have been consistent over the past few years, but we should always check if earnings per share (EPS) are growing, as this will help maintain the purchasing power of the dividend. Over the past five years, it looks as though Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers' EPS have declined at around 5.1% a year. A modest decline in earnings per share is not great to see, but it doesn't automatically make a dividend unsustainable. Still, we'd vastly prefer to see EPS growth when researching dividend stocks.

Conclusion

Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing. Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers' payout ratios are within a normal range for the average corporation, and we like that its cashflow was stronger than reported profits. Second, earnings per share have been in decline, and the dividend history is shorter than we'd like. In sum, we find it hard to get excited about Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers from a dividend perspective. It's not that we think it's a bad business; just that there are other companies that perform better on these criteria.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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