Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving G R Infraprojects Limited's (NSE:GRINFRA) 26% Price Drop

NSEI:GRINFRA
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G R Infraprojects Limited (NSE:GRINFRA) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

Since its price has dipped substantially, G R Infraprojects' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 21x and even P/E's above 44x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For instance, G R Infraprojects' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for G R Infraprojects

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NSEI:GRINFRA Price Based on Past Earnings February 25th 2022
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on G R Infraprojects' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, G R Infraprojects would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 13% overall rise in EPS. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we can see why G R Infraprojects is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Final Word

G R Infraprojects' P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of G R Infraprojects revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with G R Infraprojects (including 1 which is concerning).

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.