Stock Analysis
Escorts Kubota Limited's (NSE:ESCORTS) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 34x, you may consider Escorts Kubota Limited (NSE:ESCORTS) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 43.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Escorts Kubota has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Escorts Kubota
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Escorts Kubota's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 65% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 14% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 21% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Escorts Kubota's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Escorts Kubota currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Escorts Kubota with six simple checks.
If you're unsure about the strength of Escorts Kubota's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Escorts Kubota might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:ESCORTS
Escorts Kubota
Manufactures and sells agri machinery, construction equipment, and railway equipment in India and internationally.