Stock Analysis

Bharat Forge (NSE:BHARATFORG) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of ₹5.50

NSEI:BHARATFORG
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Bharat Forge Limited (NSE:BHARATFORG) will pay a dividend of ₹5.50 on the 9th of September. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 0.8%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

See our latest analysis for Bharat Forge

Bharat Forge's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Prior to this announcement, Bharat Forge's dividend was only 62% of earnings, however it was paying out 109% of free cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.

Analysts expect a massive rise in earnings per share in the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 18%, so there isn't too much pressure on the dividend.

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NSEI:BHARATFORG Historic Dividend June 17th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from ₹2.00 total annually to ₹7.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 13% over that duration. Bharat Forge has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's not great to see that Bharat Forge's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 7.1% per year over the past five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. While Bharat Forge is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We don't think Bharat Forge is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Bharat Forge you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant. Is Bharat Forge not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.