Stock Analysis
There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Atul Auto's (NSE:ATULAUTO) Earnings
Despite announcing strong earnings, Atul Auto Limited's (NSE:ATULAUTO) stock was sluggish. Our analysis uncovered some concerning factors that we believe the market might be paying attention to.
Check out our latest analysis for Atul Auto
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Atul Auto increased the number of shares on issue by 16% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Atul Auto's EPS by clicking here.
How Is Dilution Impacting Atul Auto's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
Three years ago, Atul Auto lost money. On the bright side, in the last twelve months it grew profit by 125%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 87% over the same period. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Atul Auto can grow EPS persistently. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Atul Auto's Profit Performance
Atul Auto shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. Because of this, we think that it may be that Atul Auto's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the happy news is that, while acknowledging we have to look beyond the statutory numbers, those numbers are still improving, with EPS growing at a very high rate over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example - Atul Auto has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Atul Auto's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ATULAUTO
Atul Auto
Manufactures and sells three-wheeler automobiles in India.