Stock Analysis

Synel M.L.L Payway (TLV:SNEL) investors are up 34% in the past week, but earnings have declined over the last five years

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TASE:SNEL

Synel M.L.L Payway Ltd (TLV:SNEL) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 34% in the last week.

While the last five years has been tough for Synel M.L.L Payway shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

View our latest analysis for Synel M.L.L Payway

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the five years over which the share price declined, Synel M.L.L Payway's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 25% each year. The share price decline of 16% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

TASE:SNEL Earnings Per Share Growth November 29th 2023

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Synel M.L.L Payway's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Synel M.L.L Payway, it has a TSR of 285% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

The total return of 7.8% received by Synel M.L.L Payway shareholders over the last year isn't far from the market return of -7.1%. The silver lining is that longer term investors would have made a total return of 31% per year over half a decade. If the stock price has been impacted by changing sentiment, rather than deteriorating business conditions, it could spell opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Synel M.L.L Payway (2 are a bit concerning) that you should be aware of.

Of course Synel M.L.L Payway may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Israeli exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.