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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Delek Automotive Systems Ltd (TLV:DLEA) After Shares Rise 30%
The Delek Automotive Systems Ltd (TLV:DLEA) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 30%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 50%.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Delek Automotive Systems' P/S ratio of 0.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Specialty Retail industry in Israel is about the same. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Delek Automotive Systems
How Has Delek Automotive Systems Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Delek Automotive Systems, which is generally not a bad outcome. Perhaps the expectation moving forward is that the revenue growth will track in line with the wider industry for the near term, which has kept the P/S subdued. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Delek Automotive Systems' earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
Delek Automotive Systems' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.4%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 33% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 14% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Delek Automotive Systems' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What Does Delek Automotive Systems' P/S Mean For Investors?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Delek Automotive Systems' P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Delek Automotive Systems revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Delek Automotive Systems (2 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:DLEA
Delek Automotive Systems
Imports and distributes cars and motorcycles in Israel, Turkey, the United States of America, and internationally.