Stock Analysis

BIG Shopping Centers (TLV:BIG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that BIG Shopping Centers Ltd (TLV:BIG) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for BIG Shopping Centers

How Much Debt Does BIG Shopping Centers Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2021, BIG Shopping Centers had ₪15.4b of debt, up from ₪6.92b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₪1.34b, its net debt is less, at about ₪14.1b.

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TASE:BIG Debt to Equity History November 17th 2021

A Look At BIG Shopping Centers' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that BIG Shopping Centers had liabilities of ₪3.08b due within a year, and liabilities of ₪14.7b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪1.34b and ₪504.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₪15.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪10.1b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, BIG Shopping Centers would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

BIG Shopping Centers shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (18.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.4 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that BIG Shopping Centers actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 128%, over the last 12 months. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is BIG Shopping Centers's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, BIG Shopping Centers recorded free cash flow of 49% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

On the face of it, BIG Shopping Centers's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its net debt to EBITDA was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that BIG Shopping Centers has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for BIG Shopping Centers you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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