Stock Analysis

Z.M.H Hammerman (TLV:ZMH) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

TASE:ZMH
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Z.M.H Hammerman Ltd (TLV:ZMH) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Z.M.H Hammerman

What Is Z.M.H Hammerman's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2023, Z.M.H Hammerman had ₪1.18b of debt, up from ₪854.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₪293.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₪882.4m.

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TASE:ZMH Debt to Equity History June 26th 2023

How Strong Is Z.M.H Hammerman's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Z.M.H Hammerman had liabilities of ₪970.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪515.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪293.2m as well as receivables valued at ₪149.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪1.04b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪446.7m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Z.M.H Hammerman would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Z.M.H Hammerman's debt to EBITDA ratio of 39.2 suggests a heavy debt load, its interest coverage of 8.1 implies it services that debt with ease. Our best guess is that the company does indeed have significant debt obligations. Shareholders should be aware that Z.M.H Hammerman's EBIT was down 57% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Z.M.H Hammerman's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Z.M.H Hammerman saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Z.M.H Hammerman's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that Z.M.H Hammerman really is carrying too much debt. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Z.M.H Hammerman (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Find out whether Z.M.H Hammerman is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.