If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Shufersal (TLV:SAE), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Shufersal, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.082 = ₪728m ÷ (₪13b - ₪4.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, Shufersal has an ROCE of 8.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Consumer Retailing industry average of 13%.
Check out our latest analysis for Shufersal
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Shufersal compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Shufersal.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at Shufersal. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 8.2% and the business has deployed 126% more capital into its operations. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
One more thing to note, even though ROCE has remained relatively flat over the last five years, the reduction in current liabilities to 32% of total assets, is good to see from a business owner's perspective. This can eliminate some of the risks inherent in the operations because the business has less outstanding obligations to their suppliers and or short-term creditors than they did previously.
What We Can Learn From Shufersal's ROCE
Long story short, while Shufersal has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 132% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
On a final note, we've found 3 warning signs for Shufersal that we think you should be aware of.
While Shufersal may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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About TASE:SAE
Shufersal
Operates a chain of supermarkets under the Shufersal brand name in Israel.
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.