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Maytronics Ltd.'s (TLV:MTRN) 41% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Maytronics Ltd. (TLV:MTRN) shares are down a considerable 41% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 88% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Maytronics' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.4x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Israel is similar at about 13x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
For instance, Maytronics' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Maytronics
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Maytronics would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 73% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 83% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 30% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Maytronics is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Maytronics' P/E?
Maytronics' plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Maytronics revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 5 warning signs for Maytronics (4 are a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Maytronics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:MTRN
Maytronics
Engages in the development, production, marketing, distribution, and technical support of swimming pool equipment in Israel, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally.
Slight second-rate dividend payer.
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