Stock Analysis
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Birman Wood & Hardware Ltd (TLV:BIRM) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Birman Wood & Hardware
What Is Birman Wood & Hardware's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Birman Wood & Hardware had ₪269.1m of debt in December 2023, down from ₪284.5m, one year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
How Healthy Is Birman Wood & Hardware's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Birman Wood & Hardware had liabilities of ₪254.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪58.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪202.0k as well as receivables valued at ₪140.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪172.3m.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪96.2m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Birman Wood & Hardware would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 0.82 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 14.0 hit our confidence in Birman Wood & Hardware like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Birman Wood & Hardware's EBIT was down 67% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Birman Wood & Hardware will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Birman Wood & Hardware recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Our View
To be frank both Birman Wood & Hardware's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its net debt to EBITDA also fails to instill confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that Birman Wood & Hardware is carrying heavy debt load. If you play with fire you risk getting burnt, so we'd probably give this stock a wide berth. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Birman Wood & Hardware has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:BIRM
Birman Wood & Hardware
Imports, produces, and markets wood panels, hardware products, kitchen electrical appliances, and laminate flooring parquets.