Stock Analysis

Investing in INA-Industrija nafte d.d (ZGSE:INA) five years ago would have delivered you a 27% gain

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ZGSE:INA

When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. But INA-Industrija nafte, d.d. (ZGSE:INA) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 10% over five years, which is below the market return. Unfortunately the share price is down 1.3% in the last year.

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

Check out our latest analysis for INA-Industrija nafte d.d

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During five years of share price growth, INA-Industrija nafte d.d achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 15% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 2% average annual increase in the share price. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

ZGSE:INA Earnings Per Share Growth October 23rd 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on INA-Industrija nafte d.d's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, INA-Industrija nafte d.d's TSR for the last 5 years was 27%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

INA-Industrija nafte d.d shareholders gained a total return of 3.5% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 5% per year for five years. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand INA-Industrija nafte d.d better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - INA-Industrija nafte d.d has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

We will like INA-Industrija nafte d.d better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Croatian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.