Stock Analysis

Zagrebacka banka d.d's (ZGSE:ZABA) 46% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same three-year period

ZGSE:ZABA
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The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But in contrast you can make much more than 100% if the company does well. For instance the Zagrebacka banka d.d. (ZGSE:ZABA) share price is 142% higher than it was three years ago. Most would be happy with that. On top of that, the share price is up 38% in about a quarter.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Zagrebacka banka d.d investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.

View our latest analysis for Zagrebacka banka d.d

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Zagrebacka banka d.d was able to grow its EPS at 35% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. Notably, the 34% average annual share price gain matches up nicely with the EPS growth rate. This suggests that sentiment and expectations have not changed drastically. Au contraire, the share price change has arguably mimicked the EPS growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
ZGSE:ZABA Earnings Per Share Growth February 3rd 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Zagrebacka banka d.d's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Zagrebacka banka d.d, it has a TSR of 209% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Zagrebacka banka d.d shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 107% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 26%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Zagrebacka banka d.d has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course Zagrebacka banka d.d may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Croatian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Zagrebacka banka d.d is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.