Stock Analysis

Is Kunlun Energy (HKG:135) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:135
Source: Shutterstock

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Kunlun Energy Company Limited (HKG:135) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Kunlun Energy

How Much Debt Does Kunlun Energy Carry?

As you can see below, Kunlun Energy had CN„24.7b of debt, at June 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But on the other hand it also has CN„42.0b in cash, leading to a CN„17.4b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:135 Debt to Equity History September 5th 2023

How Strong Is Kunlun Energy's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Kunlun Energy had liabilities of CN„33.5b due within a year, and liabilities of CN„23.0b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN„42.0b in cash and CN„2.71b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN„11.7b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Kunlun Energy is worth CN„49.0b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Kunlun Energy boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Fortunately, Kunlun Energy grew its EBIT by 9.6% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kunlun Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Kunlun Energy has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Kunlun Energy recorded free cash flow worth 79% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While Kunlun Energy does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN„17.4b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN„9.2b, being 79% of its EBIT. So we don't think Kunlun Energy's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Kunlun Energy is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kunlun Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.