Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Huabang Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:3638) After Shares Rise 30%

SEHK:3638

Despite an already strong run, Huabang Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:3638) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 35% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Huabang Technology Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Electronic industry is similar at about 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for Huabang Technology Holdings

SEHK:3638 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024

What Does Huabang Technology Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Huabang Technology Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Huabang Technology Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Huabang Technology Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Huabang Technology Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.9%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 46% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Huabang Technology Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Huabang Technology Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that Huabang Technology Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Huabang Technology Holdings (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Huabang Technology Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.