Stock Analysis
Edianyun Limited's (HKG:2416) Stock Retreats 25% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Edianyun Limited (HKG:2416) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 84% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Edianyun's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the IT industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Edianyun
How Edianyun Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Edianyun's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Edianyun will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Edianyun would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.4%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 56% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 14% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it makes sense that Edianyun's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Edianyun's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've seen that Edianyun maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Edianyun (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Edianyun might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2416
Edianyun
An investment holding company, provides office information technology (IT) services on a subscription basis to small and medium-sized enterprises in the People’s Republic of China.