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Benign Growth For Wai Chi Holdings Company Limited (HKG:1305) Underpins Stock's 28% Plummet
The Wai Chi Holdings Company Limited (HKG:1305) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Wai Chi Holdings may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.8x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 13x and even P/E's higher than 24x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Wai Chi Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Wai Chi Holdings
How Is Wai Chi Holdings' Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Wai Chi Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 39% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 27% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Wai Chi Holdings' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From Wai Chi Holdings' P/E?
Having almost fallen off a cliff, Wai Chi Holdings' share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Wai Chi Holdings revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Wai Chi Holdings that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Wai Chi Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1305
Wai Chi Holdings
An investment holding company, manufactures and trades in light-emitting diode (LED) backlight and LED lighting products to business corporations and public utilities in the People’s Republic of China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.
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