Stock Analysis
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- SEHK:533
Goldlion Holdings (HKG:533) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year
Goldlion Holdings Limited's (HKG:533) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to HK$0.02 on the 17th of September. The dividend yield will be in the average range for the industry at 6.4%.
Check out our latest analysis for Goldlion Holdings
Goldlion Holdings' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 274% of cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
Looking forward, EPS could fall by 23.5% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 70%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of HK$0.27 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of HK$0.06. This works out to a decline of approximately 78% over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Given that the track record hasn't been stellar, we really want to see earnings per share growing over time. Over the past five years, it looks as though Goldlion Holdings' EPS has declined at around 23% a year. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.
Goldlion Holdings' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We don't think Goldlion Holdings is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Goldlion Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:533
Goldlion Holdings
An investment holding company, manufactures and distributes apparel in China Mainland, Hong Kong SAR, and Singapore.