Stock Analysis

We Think Sun Hung Kai Properties (HKG:16) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SEHK:16
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (HKG:16) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Sun Hung Kai Properties

What Is Sun Hung Kai Properties's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Sun Hung Kai Properties had HK$106.7b of debt in December 2020, down from HK$133.2b, one year before. However, it does have HK$24.7b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$82.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:16 Debt to Equity History April 9th 2021

How Healthy Is Sun Hung Kai Properties' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sun Hung Kai Properties had liabilities of HK$76.1b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$114.5b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$24.7b and HK$15.1b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$150.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Sun Hung Kai Properties has a huge market capitalization of HK$342.2b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

We'd say that Sun Hung Kai Properties's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.0), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 21.2 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. We saw Sun Hung Kai Properties grow its EBIT by 5.0% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sun Hung Kai Properties can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Sun Hung Kai Properties produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 59% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

On our analysis Sun Hung Kai Properties's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to handle its total liabilities. Considering this range of data points, we think Sun Hung Kai Properties is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Sun Hung Kai Properties you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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