The board of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (HKG:16) has announced that it will pay a dividend of HK$1.25 per share on the 17th of March. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 5.3%, which is around the industry average.
Check out our latest analysis for Sun Hung Kai Properties
Sun Hung Kai Properties' Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions
While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 115% of cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 11.0%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 49% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Sun Hung Kai Properties Has A Solid Track Record
The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. Since 2012, the first annual payment was HK$3.35, compared to the most recent full-year payment of HK$4.95. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 4.0% over that duration. While the consistency in the dividend payments is impressive, we think the relatively slow rate of growth is less attractive.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. It's not great to see that Sun Hung Kai Properties' earnings per share has fallen at approximately 6.0% per year over the past five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this can turn into a longer term trend.
In Summary
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Sun Hung Kai Properties' payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We don't think Sun Hung Kai Properties is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Without at least some growth in earnings per share over time, the dividend will eventually come under pressure either from competition or inflation. See if the 14 analysts are forecasting a turnaround in our free collection of analyst estimates here. Is Sun Hung Kai Properties not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:16
Sun Hung Kai Properties
Develops and invests in properties for sale and rent in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally.
Good value with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.