Stock Analysis

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company Limited's (HKG:3692) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

SEHK:3692
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Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company Limited's (HKG:3692) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 8x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group

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SEHK:3692 Price Based on Past Earnings May 19th 2022
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.8%. EPS has also lifted 20% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 17% per year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 16% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it interesting that Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.