Stock Analysis

Ascletis Pharma (HKG:1672) adds HK$118m to market cap in the past 7 days, though investors from five years ago are still down 80%

Published
SEHK:1672

Some stocks are best avoided. It hits us in the gut when we see fellow investors suffer a loss. Imagine if you held Ascletis Pharma Inc. (HKG:1672) for half a decade as the share price tanked 80%. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 52% in the last year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 16% in the last 90 days. We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.

The recent uptick of 13% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for Ascletis Pharma

Because Ascletis Pharma made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over half a decade Ascletis Pharma reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 25% for each year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. So it's not that strange that the share price dropped 13% per year in that period. This kind of price performance makes us very wary, especially when combined with falling revenue. Ironically, that behavior could create an opportunity for the contrarian investor - but only if there are good reasons to predict a brighter future.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

SEHK:1672 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 19th 2024

This free interactive report on Ascletis Pharma's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 5.1% in the last year, Ascletis Pharma shareholders lost 52%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 13% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Ascletis Pharma has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

Of course Ascletis Pharma may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.