Stock Analysis

We Think Anhui Conch Cement (HKG:914) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Published
SEHK:914

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited (HKG:914) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Anhui Conch Cement

How Much Debt Does Anhui Conch Cement Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Anhui Conch Cement had CN¥23.7b of debt, up from CN¥22.3b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥68.3b in cash, so it actually has CN¥44.6b net cash.

SEHK:914 Debt to Equity History July 22nd 2024

How Healthy Is Anhui Conch Cement's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Anhui Conch Cement had liabilities of CN¥26.3b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥19.7b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥68.3b as well as receivables valued at CN¥17.4b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥39.7b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This luscious liquidity implies that Anhui Conch Cement's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, Anhui Conch Cement boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

On the other hand, Anhui Conch Cement's EBIT dived 19%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Anhui Conch Cement can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Anhui Conch Cement may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Anhui Conch Cement basically broke even on a free cash flow basis. While many companies do operate at break-even, we prefer see substantial free cash flow, especially if a it already has dead.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Anhui Conch Cement has CN¥44.6b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Anhui Conch Cement's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Anhui Conch Cement you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.