Stock Analysis
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- SEHK:1931
IVD Medical Holding Limited's (HKG:1931) 30% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Earnings
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the IVD Medical Holding Limited (HKG:1931) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 42% share price drop.
Since its price has dipped substantially, IVD Medical Holding may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 9x and even P/E's higher than 18x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
IVD Medical Holding has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for IVD Medical Holding
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, IVD Medical Holding would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 13% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 23% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's understandable that IVD Medical Holding's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Bottom Line On IVD Medical Holding's P/E
Shares in IVD Medical Holding have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that IVD Medical Holding maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You need to take note of risks, for example - IVD Medical Holding has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1931
IVD Medical Holding
An investment holding company, distributes In vitro diagnostic (IVD) products in Mainland China and internationally.