Stock Analysis
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Smoore International Holdings Limited (HKG:6969) With Shares Advancing 29%
Smoore International Holdings Limited (HKG:6969) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. The last month tops off a massive increase of 157% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider Smoore International Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 51.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Smoore International Holdings could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Smoore International Holdings
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Smoore International Holdings.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Smoore International Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 15%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 73% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 21% as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 21% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Smoore International Holdings is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Smoore International Holdings have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Smoore International Holdings currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Smoore International Holdings with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Smoore International Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:6969
Smoore International Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the provision of vaping technology solutions.