Stock Analysis

Is Sunshine Oilsands (HKG:2012) Using Too Much Debt?

SEHK:2012
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. (HKG:2012) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Sunshine Oilsands

What Is Sunshine Oilsands's Debt?

As you can see below, Sunshine Oilsands had CA$359.6m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2012 Debt to Equity History February 19th 2025

How Strong Is Sunshine Oilsands' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Sunshine Oilsands had liabilities of CA$521.5m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$162.5m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$548.0k as well as receivables valued at CA$6.96m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$676.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CA$22.7m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Sunshine Oilsands would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Sunshine Oilsands will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Sunshine Oilsands reported revenue of CA$38m, which is a gain of 768%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!

Caveat Emptor

Even though Sunshine Oilsands managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$26m. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the fact is that it incinerated CA$6.0m of cash in the last twelve months, and has precious few liquid assets in comparison to its liabilities. So is this a high risk stock? We think so, and we'd avoid it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Sunshine Oilsands (including 2 which are potentially serious) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:2012

Sunshine Oilsands

Engages in the evaluation and development of oil properties to produce crude oil products in the Athabasca oil sands region in Alberta, Canada.

Slight and slightly overvalued.