Stock Analysis

Is Hidili Industry International Development (HKG:1393) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

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SEHK:1393

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Hidili Industry International Development Limited (HKG:1393) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hidili Industry International Development

What Is Hidili Industry International Development's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Hidili Industry International Development had CN¥6.17b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

SEHK:1393 Debt to Equity History September 10th 2024

How Strong Is Hidili Industry International Development's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hidili Industry International Development had liabilities of CN¥7.68b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.00b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥12.0m in cash and CN¥1.67b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥9.00b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥277.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Hidili Industry International Development would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Hidili Industry International Development's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Hidili Industry International Development had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 44%, to CN¥1.9b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Hidili Industry International Development's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥473m. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost CN¥1.1b in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hidili Industry International Development you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hidili Industry International Development might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.