Stock Analysis

Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (HKG:1033) Stock Rockets 37% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Published
SEHK:1033

Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (HKG:1033) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 37% share price jump in the last month. Looking further back, the 18% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

After such a large jump in price, Sinopec Oilfield Service may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.1x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 10x and even P/E's lower than 6x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Sinopec Oilfield Service has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Sinopec Oilfield Service

SEHK:1033 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 4th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sinopec Oilfield Service.

How Is Sinopec Oilfield Service's Growth Trending?

Sinopec Oilfield Service's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 389% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 38% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 22%.

With this information, we find it concerning that Sinopec Oilfield Service is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining earnings are likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Sinopec Oilfield Service's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Sinopec Oilfield Service currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. When we see a poor outlook with earnings heading backwards, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sinopec Oilfield Service (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.