Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Tai Hing Group Holdings' (HKG:6811) For Its Upcoming Dividend

SEHK:6811
Source: Shutterstock

Readers hoping to buy Tai Hing Group Holdings Limited (HKG:6811) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Thus, you can purchase Tai Hing Group Holdings' shares before the 5th of October in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 2nd of November.

The company's upcoming dividend is HK$0.034 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of HK$0.059 per share to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Tai Hing Group Holdings has a trailing yield of 6.4% on the current share price of HK$0.92. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Tai Hing Group Holdings

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Tai Hing Group Holdings paid out 109% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. The good news is it paid out just 20% of its free cash flow in the last year.

It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and Tai Hing Group Holdings fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see how much of its profit Tai Hing Group Holdings paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
SEHK:6811 Historic Dividend October 1st 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see Tai Hing Group Holdings's earnings per share have dropped 14% a year over the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Tai Hing Group Holdings's dividend payments per share have declined at 2.3% per year on average over the past four years, which is uninspiring. It's never nice to see earnings and dividends falling, but at least management has cut the dividend rather than potentially risk the company's health in an attempt to maintain it.

Final Takeaway

Is Tai Hing Group Holdings worth buying for its dividend? It's never great to see earnings per share declining, especially when a company is paying out 109% of its profit as dividends, which we feel is uncomfortably high. However, the cash payout ratio was much lower - good news from a dividend perspective - which makes us wonder why there is such a mis-match between income and cashflow. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of Tai Hing Group Holdings.

So if you're still interested in Tai Hing Group Holdings despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Tai Hing Group Holdings you should know about.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tai Hing Group Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.