Stock Analysis

MGM China Holdings Limited (HKG:2282) Passed Our Checks, And It's About To Pay A HK$0.353 Dividend

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SEHK:2282

MGM China Holdings Limited (HKG:2282) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next four days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Accordingly, MGM China Holdings investors that purchase the stock on or after the 11th of September will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 4th of October.

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.353 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of HK$0.24 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, MGM China Holdings has a trailing yield of approximately 2.3% on its current stock price of HK$10.50. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. So we need to investigate whether MGM China Holdings can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

View our latest analysis for MGM China Holdings

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Fortunately MGM China Holdings's payout ratio is modest, at just 35% of profit. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether MGM China Holdings generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Luckily it paid out just 16% of its free cash flow last year.

It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

SEHK:2282 Historic Dividend September 6th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. It's encouraging to see MGM China Holdings has grown its earnings rapidly, up 33% a year for the past five years. MGM China Holdings is paying out less than half its earnings and cash flow, while simultaneously growing earnings per share at a rapid clip. Companies with growing earnings and low payout ratios are often the best long-term dividend stocks, as the company can both grow its earnings and increase the percentage of earnings that it pays out, essentially multiplying the dividend.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. MGM China Holdings's dividend payments per share have declined at 17% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring. It's unusual to see earnings per share increasing at the same time as dividends per share have been in decline. We'd hope it's because the company is reinvesting heavily in its business, but it could also suggest business is lumpy.

The Bottom Line

Has MGM China Holdings got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's great that MGM China Holdings is growing earnings per share while simultaneously paying out a low percentage of both its earnings and cash flow. It's disappointing to see the dividend has been cut at least once in the past, but as things stand now, the low payout ratio suggests a conservative approach to dividends, which we like. MGM China Holdings looks solid on this analysis overall, and we'd definitely consider investigating it more closely.

In light of that, while MGM China Holdings has an appealing dividend, it's worth knowing the risks involved with this stock. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for MGM China Holdings (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.