Stock Analysis

3 Stocks Possibly Trading Up To 49% Below Intrinsic Value

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In the midst of a global market recovery, U.S. stocks have shown solid gains, buoyed by positive news on inflation and growth that has raised hopes for a "soft landing" in the economy. As investors navigate these optimistic conditions, identifying undervalued stocks becomes crucial for maximizing potential returns. A good stock in this environment is one that may be trading below its intrinsic value despite strong fundamentals and promising future prospects. Here are three such stocks that could be trading up to 49% below their intrinsic value.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Mader Group (ASX:MAD)A$5.30A$10.5549.8%
West Holdings (TSE:1407)¥2443.00¥4885.0450%
Stille (OM:STIL)SEK222.00SEK443.0049.9%
EnomotoLtd (TSE:6928)¥1464.00¥2921.3249.9%
VIOL (KOSDAQ:A335890)₩8950.00₩17831.4149.8%
Shanghai INT Medical Instruments (SEHK:1501)HK$28.25HK$56.2449.8%
Global Green Chemicals (SET:GGC)THB4.98THB9.9149.7%
SBI ARUHI (TSE:7198)¥856.00¥1704.4349.8%
Defence Tech Holding (BIT:DTH)€3.54€7.0749.9%
Kesla Oyj (HLSE:KELAS)€3.74€7.4549.8%

Click here to see the full list of 925 stocks from our Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's uncover some gems from our specialized screener.

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HLSE:UPM)

Overview: UPM-Kymmene Oyj, with a market cap of €16.47 billion, operates in the forest-based bioindustry through its subsidiaries across Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally.

Operations: UPM-Kymmene Oyj's revenue segments include UPM Energy (€675 million), UPM Fibres (€3.38 billion), UPM Plywood (€405 million), UPM Raflatac (€1.54 billion), UPM Specialty Papers (€1.50 billion), and UPM Communication Papers (€3.12 billion).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 37.3%

UPM-Kymmene Oyj is trading at €30.89, significantly below its estimated fair value of €49.24, making it highly undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite a dip in profit margins to 4.2% from 11.4% last year due to large one-off items, earnings are forecasted to grow at 26.62% annually over the next three years, outpacing the Finnish market's growth rate of 16.3%. However, its dividend yield of 4.86% is not well covered by earnings or free cash flows.

HLSE:UPM Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024

ANTA Sports Products (SEHK:2020)

Overview: ANTA Sports Products Limited, with a market cap of HK$191.06 billion, operates in the research and development, design, manufacturing, and marketing of shoes, apparel, and accessories across Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macao, and internationally.

Operations: Revenue Segments (in millions of CN¥): ANTA Brand: 30306, FILA Brand: 25103, ALL Other Brands: 6947. ANTA Sports Products generates revenue primarily from its ANTA brand (CN¥30.31 billion), FILA brand (CN¥25.10 billion), and other brands (CN¥6.95 billion).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49%

ANTA Sports Products is trading at HK$69.1, significantly below its estimated fair value of HK$135.41, indicating it is highly undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis. Recent sales results show strong growth across all branded products, with ANTA and FILA brands experiencing mid to high-single digit increases and other brands seeing 35-45% growth in the first half of 2024. Despite moderate revenue growth forecasts of 10.3% annually, earnings are expected to grow faster than the Hong Kong market at 12.6% per year.

SEHK:2020 Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024

Silergy (TWSE:6415)

Overview: Silergy Corp. designs, manufactures, and sells various integrated circuit products and related technical services in China and internationally, with a market cap of NT$170.47 billion.

Operations: Revenue from the semiconductor segment amounts to NT$15.83 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 38.6%

Silergy, trading at NT$473, is significantly undervalued based on its estimated fair value of NT$770.07. Despite recent delisting from OTC Equity due to inactivity, the company’s revenue and earnings are forecasted to grow substantially—23.7% and 65.16% per year respectively—outpacing the broader Taiwan market. However, profit margins have decreased from last year’s 22.4% to 3.8%, and return on equity is expected to be low at 15.8%.

TWSE:6415 Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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