Q P Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1412) has announced that it will pay a dividend of HK$0.03 per share on the 10th of October. This makes the dividend yield 8.5%, which is above the industry average.
View our latest analysis for Q P Group Holdings
Q P Group Holdings' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Q P Group Holdings was earning enough to cover the dividend, but it wasn't generating any free cash flows. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 0.3% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 57%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Q P Group Holdings' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Looking back, the company hasn't been paying the most consistent dividend, but with such a short dividend history it could be too early to draw solid conclusions. Since 2020, the annual payment back then was HK$0.09, compared to the most recent full-year payment of HK$0.10. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 2.7% over that duration. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.
Q P Group Holdings May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Unfortunately, Q P Group Holdings' earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. The company has been growing at a pretty soft 0.3% per annum, and is paying out quite a lot of its earnings to shareholders. This isn't necessarily bad, but we wouldn't expect rapid dividend growth in the future.
Our Thoughts On Q P Group Holdings' Dividend
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Q P Group Holdings that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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About SEHK:1412
Q P Group Holdings
An investment holding company, manufactures and trades in paper products in the People’s Republic of China, the United States, Europe, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.