Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group (HKG:1330) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

Published
SEHK:1330

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:1330) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group

How Much Debt Does Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group Carry?

As you can see below, Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group had CN¥12.1b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.17b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥11.0b.

SEHK:1330 Debt to Equity History September 5th 2024

How Strong Is Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group had liabilities of CN¥3.91b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥10.3b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.17b in cash and CN¥2.58b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥10.5b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥6.55b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.2 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 2.7 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Even more troubling is the fact that Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group actually let its EBIT decrease by 3.9% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

On the face of it, Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its net debt to EBITDA was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.