Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on JiaChen Holding Group Limited (HKG:1937) Current Share Price Momentum?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
October 15, 2021
SEHK:1937
Source: Shutterstock

JiaChen Holding Group (HKG:1937) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 467% over the last three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study JiaChen Holding Group's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for JiaChen Holding Group

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for JiaChen Holding Group is:

2.5% = CN¥7.1m ÷ CN¥284m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.02 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

JiaChen Holding Group's Earnings Growth And 2.5% ROE

As you can see, JiaChen Holding Group's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 9.9%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 26% seen by JiaChen Holding Group was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

That being said, we compared JiaChen Holding Group's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 17% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:1937 Past Earnings Growth October 15th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about JiaChen Holding Group's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is JiaChen Holding Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

JiaChen Holding Group doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by JiaChen Holding Group can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 4 risks we have identified for JiaChen Holding Group.

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