Stock Analysis

Sheung Yue Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:1633) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 29%

Published
SEHK:1633

The Sheung Yue Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1633) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 41% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Sheung Yue Group Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 10x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

For example, consider that Sheung Yue Group Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Sheung Yue Group Holdings

SEHK:1633 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 25th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sheung Yue Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Sheung Yue Group Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 60% decrease to the company's bottom line. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Sheung Yue Group Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Sheung Yue Group Holdings' P/E

Following Sheung Yue Group Holdings' share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Sheung Yue Group Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Sheung Yue Group Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Sheung Yue Group Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.