Stock Analysis
Geely Automobile Holdings (HKG:175) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Geely Automobile Holdings (HKG:175) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Geely Automobile Holdings:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.029 = CN¥2.9b ÷ (CN¥189b - CN¥91b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
So, Geely Automobile Holdings has an ROCE of 2.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Auto industry average of 6.0%.
Check out our latest analysis for Geely Automobile Holdings
In the above chart we have measured Geely Automobile Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Geely Automobile Holdings for free.
What Can We Tell From Geely Automobile Holdings' ROCE Trend?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Geely Automobile Holdings doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 24% over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Geely Automobile Holdings has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 48%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
In Conclusion...
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Geely Automobile Holdings. However, despite the promising trends, the stock has fallen 19% over the last five years, so there might be an opportunity here for astute investors. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
Geely Automobile Holdings could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation for 175 on our platform quite valuable.
While Geely Automobile Holdings isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:175
Geely Automobile Holdings
An investment holding company, operates as an automobile manufacturer primarily in the People’s Republic of China.