Stock Analysis

Kordellos Ch. Bros (ATH:KORDE) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

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ATSE:KORDE

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Kordellos Ch. Bros S.A. (ATH:KORDE) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Kordellos Ch. Bros

How Much Debt Does Kordellos Ch. Bros Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kordellos Ch. Bros had debt of €22.9m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from €30.2m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of €3.86m, its net debt is less, at about €19.0m.

ATSE:KORDE Debt to Equity History October 8th 2024

How Strong Is Kordellos Ch. Bros' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kordellos Ch. Bros had liabilities of €9.58m due within 12 months and liabilities of €23.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €3.86m as well as receivables valued at €20.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €8.38m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of €8.19m, we think shareholders really should watch Kordellos Ch. Bros's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 0.27 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 25.6 hit our confidence in Kordellos Ch. Bros like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that Kordellos Ch. Bros saw its EBIT drop by 16% over the last twelve months. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Kordellos Ch. Bros's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Kordellos Ch. Bros produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 65% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

On the face of it, Kordellos Ch. Bros's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Kordellos Ch. Bros's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Kordellos Ch. Bros has 3 warning signs (and 2 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.