Stock Analysis

Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Mytilineos S.A.'s (ATH:MYTIL) Stock?

ATSE:MYTIL
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Most readers would already be aware that Mytilineos' (ATH:MYTIL) stock increased significantly by 16% over the past three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Mytilineos' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for Mytilineos

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Mytilineos is:

25% = €593m ÷ €2.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every €1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of €0.25.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Mytilineos' Earnings Growth And 25% ROE

To begin with, Mytilineos has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 8.6% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. So, the substantial 30% net income growth seen by Mytilineos over the past five years isn't overly surprising.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Mytilineos' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 12% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
ATSE:MYTIL Past Earnings Growth January 3rd 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Mytilineos''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Mytilineos Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Mytilineos' three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 36%, meaning the company retains 64% of its income. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Mytilineos is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Besides, Mytilineos has been paying dividends over a period of six years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 35%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 23%.

Conclusion

Overall, we are quite pleased with Mytilineos' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.