Stock Analysis

Is Ellaktor (ATH:ELLAKTOR) Using Too Much Debt?

ATSE:ELLAKTOR
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Ellaktor S.A. (ATH:ELLAKTOR) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Ellaktor

How Much Debt Does Ellaktor Carry?

As you can see below, Ellaktor had €1.65b of debt, at December 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had €325.7m in cash, and so its net debt is €1.33b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ATSE:ELLAKTOR Debt to Equity History May 9th 2021

How Strong Is Ellaktor's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ellaktor had liabilities of €670.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €1.82b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €325.7m in cash and €712.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €1.45b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €271.9m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Ellaktor would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Ellaktor's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Ellaktor had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 30%, to €892m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Ellaktor's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable €67m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through €48m in the last year. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ellaktor (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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About ATSE:ELLAKTOR

Ellaktor

Through its subsidiaries, operates as an infrastructure company in Greece, other European countries, Gulf countries, and the Americas.

Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.

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