Stock Analysis

Is SSE (LON:SSE) A Risky Investment?

Published
LSE:SSE

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, SSE plc (LON:SSE) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for SSE

What Is SSE's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that SSE had UK£8.82b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of UK£1.04b, its net debt is less, at about UK£7.79b.

LSE:SSE Debt to Equity History September 10th 2024

A Look At SSE's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, SSE had liabilities of UK£4.86b due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£11.6b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£1.04b and UK£2.09b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total UK£13.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of UK£21.7b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on SSE's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

SSE's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.2 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 20.0 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Notably, SSE made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of UK£2.9b in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine SSE's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent year, SSE recorded free cash flow of 46% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for SSE was the fact that it seems able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For example, its level of total liabilities makes us a little nervous about its debt. It's also worth noting that SSE is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about SSE's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with SSE .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.