Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Jersey Electricity plc (LON:JEL) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Published
LSE:JEL

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Jersey Electricity plc (LON:JEL) is about to go ex-dividend in just three days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Therefore, if you purchase Jersey Electricity's shares on or after the 22nd of February, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 15th of March.

The company's next dividend payment will be UK£0.114 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed UK£0.19 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Jersey Electricity has a trailing yield of 4.3% on the current share price of UK£4.54. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Jersey Electricity's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

See our latest analysis for Jersey Electricity

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Jersey Electricity paid out 53% of its earnings to investors last year, a normal payout level for most businesses. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Jersey Electricity generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Jersey Electricity paid out more free cash flow than it generated - 128%, to be precise - last year, which we think is concerningly high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Jersey Electricity does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

Jersey Electricity paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough cash to cover the dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to Jersey Electricity's ability to maintain its dividend.

Click here to see how much of its profit Jersey Electricity paid out over the last 12 months.

LSE:JEL Historic Dividend February 18th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks with flat earnings can still be attractive dividend payers, but it is important to be more conservative with your approach and demand a greater margin for safety when it comes to dividend sustainability. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. With that in mind, we're not enthused to see that Jersey Electricity's earnings per share have remained effectively flat over the past five years. Better than seeing them fall off a cliff, for sure, but the best dividend stocks grow their earnings meaningfully over the long run.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the last 10 years, Jersey Electricity has lifted its dividend by approximately 5.6% a year on average.

The Bottom Line

Should investors buy Jersey Electricity for the upcoming dividend? Earnings per share have not grown and Jersey Electricity's profit payout ratio looks reasonable. However, it paid out a disconcertingly high percentage of its cashflow, which is a worry. It's not that we think Jersey Electricity is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

So if you're still interested in Jersey Electricity despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. For example, we've found 2 warning signs for Jersey Electricity (1 is significant!) that deserve your attention before investing in the shares.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Jersey Electricity is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.