Stock Analysis

Wizz Air Holdings (LON:WIZZ) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

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LSE:WIZZ

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Wizz Air Holdings Plc (LON:WIZZ) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Wizz Air Holdings

How Much Debt Does Wizz Air Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Wizz Air Holdings had €1.01b of debt in March 2024, down from €1.30b, one year before. But it also has €1.48b in cash to offset that, meaning it has €465.1m net cash.

LSE:WIZZ Debt to Equity History July 12th 2024

How Strong Is Wizz Air Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Wizz Air Holdings had liabilities of €2.98b due within a year, and liabilities of €5.57b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €1.48b as well as receivables valued at €357.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €6.71b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €2.69b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Wizz Air Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. Wizz Air Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load, even if it does have very significant liabilities, in total.

Notably, Wizz Air Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of €193m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Wizz Air Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Wizz Air Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last year, Wizz Air Holdings recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Summing Up

Although Wizz Air Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €465.1m. However, we do find both Wizz Air Holdings's level of total liabilities and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow troubling. So despite the cash, we do think it carries some risks. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Wizz Air Holdings that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Wizz Air Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Wizz Air Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com