Stock Analysis

Is Gama Aviation (LON:GMAA) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

AIM:GMAA
Source: Shutterstock

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Gama Aviation Plc (LON:GMAA) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Gama Aviation

What Is Gama Aviation's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Gama Aviation had debt of US$53.2m, up from US$46.2m in one year. However, it also had US$16.1m in cash, and so its net debt is US$37.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:GMAA Debt to Equity History May 29th 2021

How Strong Is Gama Aviation's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Gama Aviation had liabilities of US$60.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$99.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$16.1m and US$50.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$93.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$33.0m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Gama Aviation would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Gama Aviation will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Gama Aviation had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 26%, to US$182m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Gama Aviation's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost US$3.1m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of US$8.3m in the last year. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Gama Aviation you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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