Stock Analysis
- United Kingdom
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- Wireless Telecom
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- LSE:AAF
Many Still Looking Away From Airtel Africa Plc (LON:AAF)
It's not a stretch to say that Airtel Africa Plc's (LON:AAF) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Wireless Telecom industry in the United Kingdom, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
View our latest analysis for Airtel Africa
What Does Airtel Africa's Recent Performance Look Like?
Airtel Africa hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Airtel Africa will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Airtel Africa's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Airtel Africa's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 8.2% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% each year during the coming three years according to the eleven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 3.2% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Airtel Africa's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Airtel Africa currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Airtel Africa that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Airtel Africa, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:AAF
Airtel Africa
Provides telecommunications and mobile money services in Nigeria, East Africa, and Francophone Africa.